Companion to: Maintaining a Credible Estimate at Completion (EAC)
A common Earned Value Management System (EVMS) compliance and surveillance review finding are issues with a contractor’s estimate at completion (EAC) process. A credible EAC is essential to successfully manage all contracts and projects.
EACs are important because they provide a projection of the cost at contract or project completion, which is also an estimate of total funds required by the customer. It matters because EACs represent real money. When the most likely EAC exceeds the negotiated contract cost, the contractor’s profit margins may be at risk. It also creates a problem for the customer when the most likely EAC exceeds their funding limits.
We recently updated our blog titled Maintaining a Credible Estimate at Completion (EAC) to highlight why this is a good time to review and potentially update your estimate to complete (ETC) and EAC processes.
The updated blog added content specific to:
- Incorporating integrated master schedule (IMS) analysis to test the realism of the EAC to identify any disconnects with the cost-based independent EACs (IEACs). It is equally important to determine a realistic forecast completion date (FCD).
- Ensuring control account managers (CAMs) are in a position to substantiate their schedule timeline, resource requirements, and cost estimate to complete the remaining work. It is equally important that project managers proactively take the action of “scrubbing” the CAM’s detail ETC/EAC and verifying the data to gain a better understanding of the project’s current state. This improves the quality of the project-level forecast completion date as well as the range of project-level EACs.
- Suggested actions to review and enhance current processes from basic steps, such as incorporating an analysis of the IMS Current Execution Index (CEI) to gain an understanding of how well project personnel can forecast into the future, and taking advantage of AI tools to provide additional data analysis insight.
In addition, the publication of the EIA-748-E Standard for EVMS revised 27 guidelines and related updates to government agency guidance such as the DoD EVMS Interpretation Guide (EVMSIG) will require contractor’s to review and remap EVM System Description content to the revised set of guidelines. The updated blog emphasizes this is a good time to revisit internal ETC/EAC processes and procedures to determine where improvements can be made as well as to ensure project personnel are following the documented processes. The EIA-748-E split the EIA-748-D Guideline 27 into two guidelines. The EIA-748-E Guideline 20 is specific to the control account level EACs and Guideline 23 is specific to the project level EACs. An EVM System Description should have content specific to the process at the control account level as well as the project level that can easily be mapped to the EIA-748-E Guidelines 20 and 23.
Do Your Internal Processes and Procedures Need a Refresh?
H&A earned value consultants routinely assist contractors with updating their internal processes and procedures to reflect the evolving EVMS requirements and guides, regulatory environment, and toolset capabilities. Workflow steps can often be simplified and the quality of performance analysis can be improved with a refreshed approach that reduces the time needed to produce reliable and actionable information. Call us today at (714) 685-1730 to get started.