Determining Responsibility for Indirect Cost Variance Analysis – Part 1

About Indirect Costs

The debate that has continued since the inception of the earned value concepts in the 1960s has been: “Who should report on and analyze the cost variances attributable to indirect costs?”

This blog is the first in the series of blogs to help answer this question.  This blog covers a few fundamentals about how indirect cost rates are established to set the stage.  Part 2 will discuss how indirect rates are applied and how project personnel display indirect costs for internal or performance reporting.  Part 3 will conclude the discussion on the indirect cost variance analysis process.  It covers what the EIA-748 Standard for Earned Value Management Systems (EVMS) and related government agency guides have to say on the subject as well as discussing options for determining who is responsible for indirect cost variance analysis. 

We are frequently asked by our clients who should be responsible for indirect cost variance analysis – and with good reason.  When you consider indirect costs (or overheads) are often 100% or more of a project’s direct costs, that means over 50% of in-house work effort is attributable to indirect costs.  That’s a major contributor to a project’s total cost, as illustrated in Figure 1. 

Breakout of Direct and Indirect Costs
Figure 1: Example of how indirect costs often contribute over 50% of in-house project’s total cost

It also matters to executive management, the customer, project managers, and control account managers (CAMs) when indirect rate changes impact variances to date and estimates at completion (EACs), potentially causing a significant variance at completion or VAC (the VAC is equal to the budget at completion (BAC) minus EAC).  While indirect pool managers plan and control indirect costs, project managers and potentially CAMs are required to monitor and control all project costs, whether direct or indirect.  They need to understand the root cause of the cost variances to date so they can develop corrective action plans to minimize impacts caused by indirect rate changes and prevent unpleasant surprises. 

Because indirect cost pools are so large, a small percentage increase in an indirect cost pool can result in a significant project cost variance that impacts the project’s EAC.  For example, a 1% unfavorable indirect cost variance might seem low – certainly not breaking a variance threshold on a particular project because variance percentages are typically established at a level where all costs (direct and indirect) are added together.  On a project with $100M in indirect costs, however, that 1% equates to $1M.  An unfavorable variance definitely matters to executive management because it impacts a company’s profit margins.  It matters to the customer – they may need to modify the project’s scope of work or funding profile when an increase in indirect costs is significant.  It also impacts the project manager and the CAMs.  When the to-date and forecasted indirect rate increase is significant, they may need to make adjustments at the detail level to reduce their direct cost estimate to complete (ETC) to stay within the project’s contract target cost (CTC).  

Who establishes and maintains the indirect cost rates?

Finance or accounting is usually responsible for establishing and maintaining the contractor’s direct and indirect rates.  Indirect rates are established for the different “pools” of shared indirect costs applied to the project direct costs, as Figure 1 illustrates. 

Indirect costs typically include labor and material overheads, general and administrative (G&A) overheads, and sometimes cost of money (COM).  The accounting structure determines the categories of indirect cost applied to the project direct cost elements such as labor, material, subcontract, and other direct costs (ODCs).  The pool structure determines how those indirect costs are summarized or displayed for analysis and reporting.  These structures are unique to each contractor and how they have set up their accounting system. 

Finance and accounting, with the help of executive or functional managers, typically prepare a budget plan for the pools of indirect costs that reflect the contractor’s firm and potential direct business base.  This includes the current fiscal year and a set time frame for upcoming fiscal years such as the next three to five years. 

Finance or accounting requests the firm and potential business base forecasts from the project offices and business development personnel as part of this indirect cost budget planning process.  Proposals with a high probability of winning the contract are incorporated into this calculation.  There is often a vice president or functional manager responsible for establishing the indirect pool budget and managing the resources that incur costs related to the pool. 

Finance or accounting then produces a Forward Pricing Rate Proposal (FPRP), and eventually a Forward Pricing Rate Agreement (FPRA) is achieved with the appropriate US Government agent.  This process of establishing the indirect rates is described in a Cost Accounting Standards Board (CASB) Disclosure Statement or similar accounting procedure.  These rates are applied at a very detailed level to the appropriate direct cost elements per the CASB Disclosure Statement.  The detailed resource cost elements are summarized into the usual direct cost element categories of labor, material, subcontract, and ODCs for performance analysis and reporting.

Finance or accounting provides the current approved direct and indirect rates to proposal managers for pricing their cost estimates as well as to project managers for establishing Performance Measurement Baselines (PMBs) for any new projects, and for developing project EACs.  These current rates are likely to change over time. The current rate is also applied to actual direct costs incurred so as to reflect current cost conditions.  These current rates are recorded in the official books of record in the accounting system.

Maintaining and Forecasting the Indirect Cost Rates

Finance or accounting, with the help of executive or functional managers responsible for the indirect pools, perform routine corporate level indirect cost analysis comparing their indirect cost budget plan to the actual costs.  As part of this assessment, they determine whether the current indirect rates are under or over running and require adjustment for the current or upcoming fiscal years.  An example of a monthly pool manager’s variance analysis report is illustrated in Figure 2.

Z-Best Indirect Cost Variance Analysis Report
Figure 2: Example of a monthly Indirect Cost Variance Analysis Report

The direct and indirect rates are updated on a regular basis, at a minimum annually, sometimes twice a year, or quarterly depending on the contractor.  There are a multitude of factors finance and accounting consider when they are assessing whether the rates need to be adjusted.  For example:

  • Is the business base (or volume) increasing or decreasing?  This can impact the percentage of carried indirect costs the projects incur.  The business base consists of the existing projects and the sales forecast for new contracts or likely follow-on work effort from existing contracts.  An increase or decrease in the business base/volume has a direct impact on when the different types of resources are required as well as on the skill mix of labor resources.  As a result of their analysis, executive management may direct human resources (HR) to take specific actions to hire or layoff personnel.  Similarly, they may direct procurement to issue purchase orders to suppliers or issue stop work orders to subcontractors. 
  • Actual costs being incurred in the various indirect cost pools.  For example, the company may be experiencing a spike in shipping costs or raw materials.  Perhaps employee health care costs or property insurance premiums have increased.  Perhaps new pension regulations mean they need to make a one-time adjustment for that set-aside.  Executive management may direct the indirect pool managers to take specific actions to mitigate the indirect cost increases. 
  • Executive and indirect pool management decisions that impact the indirect cost pools.  These are in addition to responding to the financial/accounting indirect cost variance analysis.  For example, they may decide to sell or purchase a new facility.  They may decide to sell off a portion of the business, or acquire another company to pursue additional business.  Or, they could direct all employees to cease all nonessential business travel for the current fiscal year. 

Any time corporate management adjusts the indirect rates up or down, there is some level of impact to projects.  This is conveyed to the project managers in some form, usually with a memorandum of the coming change to the rates that should be used for proposal pricing or project ETCs.  The revised rates may also be applied to budget values when the scope of work for future work effort is modified. 


Other Posts In This Series

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Benefits of Earned Value Management

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This video provides an overview of why Earned Value Management is a benefit to both the company implementing it and their customer.

Video Contents

You can use the links below to jump to a specific part of the video.
0:00 – Introduction
0:12 – EVMS Benefits to Customers
1:01 – EVMS Benefits to Companies
1:54 – Mutual Benefits of Earned Value


More EVMS Training

If you liked this video you can purchase the entire course below. This video is an excerpt from the Department of Defense (DOD) version of this eLearning module. We also offer the same course customized for the Department of Energy’s (DOE) specific Earned Value Management (EVM) implementation/requirements, as well as a version of the course customized for NASA’s EVM implementation/requirements.  

— Purchase This Course —
EVMS DOD Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the DOE Version of this Course —
EVMS DOE Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the NASA Version of this Course —
EVMS NASA Virtual Learning Lab


EVMS Document Matrix

Not sure what the different requirements are between the DOE and NASA? Can’t remember if Cost and Software Data Reporting (CSDR) is required for an NSA contract? Check out our easy to read Earned Value Management Systems Document Matrix


Earned Value Consulting

Earned value consulting is a process by which a consultant can help a company to better understand the financial implications of their projects. This understanding can then be used to make more informed decisions about whether or not to undertake a project, and also to ensure that the project is completed as efficiently as possible. The goal of earned value consulting is always to improve the bottom line for the company.

Looking to improve your company’s bottom line? Earned value consulting can help! Our experienced consultants can analyze your project costs and help you make informed decisions about whether or not to undertake a project. We’ll also help you stay on track during the project’s execution, ensuring that it stays within budget and on schedule. Contact us today to request a free consultation.


All Online Courses

All Online Courses Available from Humphreys & Associates

Earned Value Training

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Life After EVMS Certification – Surveillance

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Your company has just spent a year or more pursuing the EVM System Certification, going through the formal Compliance Review by the DCMA, and clearing the Corrective Action Requests identified during that review.  Finally, the company has received that coveted System Certification notification from the DCMA!  So, now the company is finally through with that process, right? 

Well… not exactly!

Now comes the really hard part – living up to that certification throughout the life of the contract(s). 

Can you lose DCMA System Certification?

All too often contractors, who have suffered through many months of trying to get their EVM Systems accepted by the government, have tended to let their guard down once certification is attained, letting their implementation of EVMS fall into disrepair.  Doing so can only end badly: poor or late data submittals, cost and/ or schedule surprises (overruns/ missed delivery dates, etc.), and generally unhappy customers.  When the customer is not happy, nobody is happy!  Failure to correct this situation on the company’s part could ultimately result in what is known as a Review For Cause conducted by the DCMA to determine if the company’s EVM Certification should be withdrawn.  Losing the EVMS Certification not only means the contractor can no longer claim in proposals that they have a certified EVMS, it can also cause a company several unwanted contractual, monetary, and reputation impacts – and the recertification process itself is no picnic either.

EVMS Business Practices

To help avoid the above unpleasant consequences, part of the DCMA’s EVMS review series includes ongoing Surveillance of a contractor’s EVM System, starting immediately after it has been certified.  The DCMA has a series of EVMS related Business Practices (BP) [updated May 2020]

  • BP0 – Earned Value Management Systems-Overall guidance on DCMA EVMS assessments
    • BP1 – Pre-Award EVM System Plan Review -of contractor proposal for EVM compliance
    • BP2 – System Description Review –of contractors EVM System and related documents
    • BP3 – Program Support – DCMA’s general EVMS-related support (IBRs, data review, etc.)
    • BP4 – System Surveillance – post-EVMS ongoing review of continued EVMS compliance
    • BP5 – Review for Cause – to assess if an EVMS acceptance is to be withdrawn
    • BP6 – Compliance Review Execution – how a Compliance Review will be run

The focus of this article is BP4 – System Surveillance, but do note that there is also BP5 on conducting a Review For Cause (RFC) discussed briefly above.

The stated purpose of BP4 is that it: “Defines the process to evaluate contractor EVMS compliance through continuing surveillance.” 

Yes, this means it is a compliance review after a contractor has gone through their Compliance Review! The basic intent of this process is to keep some pressure on the contractor to make sure EVMS implementation remains high quality throughout the life of the contract.

Drive the Car

Using our building-a-car analogy from Part 1 of this series: we have designed and built our car and trained our people how to drive, so it is now time to DRIVE OUR CAR. If we do not maintain all the car’s systems properly we are likely to encounter a lot of warning indicator lights (poor performance). If we ignore those indicators, the car is likely to fail on us. If the car blows up, we may have to go through the whole car building process again.

The DCMA does not want a contractor’s EVM System to fall into disrepair either.  The Review For Cause (RFC) and overall recertification process is unpleasant for the DCMA, too. This is also why, unlike in the past, the EVMS Center team players for Surveillance reviews are pretty much the same ones who participated in the formal Compliance Review:

  • Director, EVMS Center
  • Group Lead, EVMS Center
  • Team Lead, EVMS Center
  • Team Member, EVMS Center

There will likely be fewer Team Members than were on the full Compliance Review team, but as you can see, the Leaders will be the same. The DCMA has been placed in charge of all surveillance activities, and Government Program if team members may be needed to augment the DCMA Team.

The Compliance Review (CR) process [BP6] consisted of 5 phases:

  1. Plan
  2. Execute Pre-Event activities
  3. Execute – CR Onsite Activities
  4. Report
  5. Closing Actions

The Surveillance Review process [BP4], however, is comprised of only 3 phases:

  1. Plan
  2. Conduct
  3. Report

The Surveillance Process is primarily conducted off-site, although some on-site interviews could be required if follow-up action is required because potential non-compliances exist as a result of the data analysis.  Typically, on-site actions would be interviews of CAMs or other contractor personnel.

Plan phase:

  • Identify Requirements:  The EVMS Center Team Member works with the contractor’s EVMS point of contact to establish or update an Annual EVMS Surveillance Plan (SP).  They will jointly identify the contracts with EVMS requirements that may be subject to the surveillance activities, which may include existing contracts, new contracts, modifications to existing contracts, or even subcontracts with EVMS requirements.
  • Risk Assessment: The EVMS Center Team Member will use a Risk Assessment Worksheet to “identify a population of representative contracts” against which the DCMA can test all aspects of the system.
  • Create/ Update the Surveillance Plan (SP):  Before the start of each Fiscal Year, the EVMS Center Team Member will create or update the Surveillance Plan to document the surveillance activities using all the candidate contracts for the upcoming Fiscal Year.  The Plan is to ensure the complete evaluation of all 32 Guidelines for the site’s EVMS over a 3-year cycle to support the site re-certification.  This evaluation includes data analysis and the DCMA EVMS Compliance Metrics (DECM) for the particular Guidelines identified in the plan for each surveillance event.  This means that over the 3-year cycle 10 or 11 Guidelines must be evaluated each year in order to cover the 32 Guidelines.  This Surveillance Plan must be reviewed and approved by the EVMS Center Group Lead.

Conduct Phase:

  • Data Call:  At least 45 days prior to each surveillance event, data will be required based on the specific Guidelines being covered in that particular event.  This will typically be a subset of the Data Call required for the Compliance Review.
  • Execute Data Analysis:  Using data provided in the Data Call, the Team Member will use the tests identified in the DECM for the Guidelines being reviewed in each surveillance event.  The contractor should be running these metric checks as part of their own self-evaluation, and the EVMS Center Team Member can use those results in addition to running independent calculations on those metrics.  This is often done if Joint Surveillance is used by the DCMA, but the DCMA Team Member must still perform independent assessments and document results of those checks.
  • Evaluate Results:  Identify potential compliance issues resulting from data analysis metric tests.
  • Follow-up:  Discuss issue with the contractor, get more data samples to test further, conduct interviews of contractor personnel, as needed.  Convey data analysis concerns to the contractor before the surveillance event.
  • Closeout:  To close out the action, one of these will take place:
  • Accept as the correct execution of the contractor system
  • Highlight as a risk for future surveillance
  • Issue a Corrective Action Request (CARs)

The EVMS Center Team Member provides an out brief at the end of the surveillance event.

Report Phase:

  • Document results:  summarize/ provide the following:
  • A report with an Executive Summary
  • Results from all metrics evaluated
  • Follow-up actions taken on metric results
  • Summary of CARs issued/ observations made
  • Summary of contractor internal CARs/ findings
  • Summary of reasons for a Risk Assessment/ Surveillance Plan update (if applicable)
  • Identified risks for evaluation at future surveillance events
  • CAR/ Corrective Action Plan (CAP) status for the site

The EVMS Center Team Member identifies any significant deficiencies to the Team Lead, and then (as necessary) to the Group Lead and the Director for concurrence and processing.  A letter will be issued to the Contracting Officer (CO) notifying them of the completion of the 3-year EVMS compliance assessment, current system status, and any outstanding Corrective Action Requests (CARs) or Corrective Action Plans (CAPs).  The EVMS Center Team Member enters the approved plans/ reports to the Integrated Workflow Management System (IWMS) and for subsequent distribution to appropriate offices and the contractor (as required).

Compliance Review Support

As you can see, this seems almost as involved as getting ready for a full-up Compliance Review.  This is probably by design, since the DCMA wants to emphasize the importance of maintaining the EVM System in a compliant state for the life of the contract.  As a contractor, it is equally important to you because if your system application falls apart and you lose your EVMS certification (via BP5), the recertification process (BP6) starts all over again.

Humphreys & Associates has people ready to help you wade through the government requirements for EVMS certification, whether you are new to EVMS, or you are an experienced contractor needing help getting ready for a Compliance Review, System Surveillance, or even a Review For Cause.  We also have a wide range of training courses for beginners in EVMS or advanced courses for experienced Earned Value professionals.  We can also prepare your company for Surveillance, an IBR, an RFC, or even a full blown Compliance Review. Contact us today at (714) 685-1730 or e-mail us.

Life After EVMS Certification – Surveillance Read Post »

EVMS Guidelines and Objectives

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An overview of Earned Value Guidelines and Objectives. These are the key building blocks for a successful Earned Value Management System.

Video Contents

You can use the links below to jump to a specific part of the video.
0:05 – Helpful Earned Value Management System Elements
0:35 – EIA-748-C EVMS Guidelines
1:22 – EVMS Objectives
2:10 – Policy and Procedures
3:00 – Integrated Baseline Review (IBR)

More EVMS Training

If you liked this video you can purchase the entire course below. This video is an excerpt from the Department of Defense (DOD) version of this eLearning module. We also offer the same course customized for the Department of Energy’s (DOE) specific Earned Value Management (EVM) implementation/requirements, as well as a version of the course customized for NASA’s EVM implementation/requirements.  

— Purchase This Course —
EVMS DOD Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the DOE Version of this Course —
EVMS DOE Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the NASA Version —
EVMS NASA Virtual Learning Lab


EVMS Document Matrix

Not sure what the different requirements are between the DOE and NASA? Can’t remember if Cost and Software Data Reporting (CSDR) is required for an NSA contract? Check out our easy to read Earned Value Management Systems Document Matrix


All Online Courses

All Online Courses Available from Humphreys & Associates


Other Posts in this Series

EVMS Guidelines and Objectives Read Post »

Performance Measurement Overview

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In our second video in this series, we present an overview of Performance Measurement in an Earned Value Management System.

Video Contents

You can use the links below to jump to a specific part of the video.
0:05 – Earned Value Management Abbreviations used in Performance Measurement
0:39 – Variances in an Earned Value Management System
1:04 – What is Performance Measurement?
1:33 – Performance Measurement Objective
1:52 – Why is Communication the primary objective of Performance Measurement?
3:00 – The Problem of Too Much Data

More EVMS Training

If you liked this video you can purchase the entire course below. This video is an excerpt from the Department of Defense (DOD) version of this eLearning module. We also offer the same course customized for the Department of Energy’s (DOE) specific Earned Value Management (EVM) implementation/requirements, as well as a version of the course customized for NASA’s EVM implementation/requirements.  

— Purchase This Course —
EVMS DOD Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the DOE Version of this Course —
EVMS DOE Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the NASA Version —
EVMS NASA Virtual Learning Lab


EVMS Document Matrix

Not sure what the different requirements are between the DOE and NASA? Can’t remember if Cost and Software Data Reporting (CSDR) is required for an NSA contract? Check out our easy to read Earned Value Management Systems Document Matrix


All Online Courses

All Online Courses Available from Humphreys & Associates


Other Posts in this Series

Performance Measurement Overview Read Post »

Introduction to Earned Value Management Systems (EVMS)

We are starting a new series that will share some of the adapted video content from our EVMS Workshops. This first video is a brief overview of Earned Value Management, what it is, where it came from, and why it was developed.

More EVMS Training

If you liked this video you can purchase the entire course below. This video is an excerpt from the Department of Defense (DOD) version of this eLearning module. We also offer the same course customized for the Department of Energy’s (DOE) specific Earned Value Management (EVM) implementation/requirements, as well as a version of the course customized for NASA’s EVM implementation/requirements.  

— Purchase This Course —
EVMS DOD Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the DOE Version of this Course —
EVMS DOE Virtual Learning Lab

— Purchase the NASA Version —
EVMS NASA Virtual Learning Lab


EVMS Document Matrix

Not sure what the different requirements are between the DOE and NASA? Can’t remember if Cost and Software Data Reporting (CSDR) is required for an NSA contract? Check out our easy to read Earned Value Management Systems Document Matrix


All Online Courses

All Online Courses Available from Humphreys & Associates


Other Posts in this Series

Introduction to Earned Value Management Systems (EVMS) Read Post »

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